Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000535 0.000609 0.000687 0.000777 0.000875 0.000980 0.001100
2026-02-01 0.000419 0.000520 0.000636 0.000776 0.000939 0.001124 0.001347
2026-02-08 0.000343 0.000454 0.000586 0.000752 0.000955 0.001192 0.001488
2026-02-15 0.000288 0.000403 0.000546 0.000733 0.000969 0.001254 0.001620
2026-02-22 0.000251 0.000370 0.000522 0.000729 0.000997 0.001329 0.001765
2026-03-01 0.000222 0.000343 0.000503 0.000727 0.001026 0.001403 0.001910
2026-03-08 0.000195 0.000315 0.000480 0.000717 0.001041 0.001459 0.002031
2026-03-15 0.000172 0.000290 0.000457 0.000705 0.001051 0.001507 0.002142
2026-03-22 0.000160 0.000281 0.000457 0.000723 0.001102 0.001610 0.002327
2026-03-29 0.000148 0.000270 0.000452 0.000733 0.001142 0.001698 0.002493
2026-04-05 0.000133 0.000252 0.000436 0.000725 0.001154 0.001747 0.002609
2026-04-12 0.000119 0.000236 0.000420 0.000717 0.001166 0.001796 0.002723
2026-04-19 0.000110 0.000226 0.000414 0.000724 0.001200 0.001878 0.002887
2026-04-26 0.000101 0.000214 0.000405 0.000725 0.001225 0.001947 0.003034
2026-05-03 0.000088 0.000196 0.000382 0.000702 0.001213 0.001962 0.003103
2026-05-10 0.000077 0.000180 0.000363 0.000685 0.001207 0.001984 0.003184
2026-05-17 0.000070 0.000170 0.000352 0.000680 0.001221 0.002036 0.003308
2026-05-24 0.000064 0.000161 0.000344 0.000679 0.001239 0.002095 0.003443
2026-05-31 0.000057 0.000151 0.000331 0.000669 0.001244 0.002132 0.003547
2026-06-07 0.000051 0.000141 0.000318 0.000658 0.001244 0.002162 0.003640
2026-06-14 0.000049 0.000139 0.000321 0.000675 0.001293 0.002269 0.003851
2026-06-21 0.000046 0.000135 0.000320 0.000685 0.001329 0.002356 0.004033
2026-06-28 0.000042 0.000128 0.000310 0.000677 0.001335 0.002396 0.004143